The most common retirement planning mistake is using a percentage formula instead of building an actual budget. Here is how to calculate your real retirement income need — and how to know if you’re on track.

Average Retirement Spending: BLS Data (2026)

Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Expenditure Survey data for households age 65+:

Spending Category Average Monthly Annual % of Total
Housing (mortgage/rent, utilities, maintenance) $1,522 $18,264 35%
Healthcare (insurance, out-of-pocket) $607 $7,284 14%
Food (groceries + dining out) $520 $6,240 12%
Transportation (car payment, gas, insurance) $606 $7,272 14%
Entertainment, travel, recreation $346 $4,152 8%
Clothing and personal care $173 $2,076 4%
Gifts, charitable giving $217 $2,604 5%
All other $354 $4,248 8%
Total Average $4,345 $52,140 100%

Income Needed by Lifestyle Type

Lifestyle Monthly Need Annual Need Required Portfolio (4% rule)
Frugal (paid-off small home, low COL area) $2,500 – $3,200 $30,000 – $38,400 $750,000 – $960,000
Modest (average spending, no major travel) $3,500 – $4,500 $42,000 – $54,000 $1,050,000 – $1,350,000
Comfortable (regular travel, nice dining) $5,000 – $7,000 $60,000 – $84,000 $1,500,000 – $2,100,000
Affluent (frequent international travel, luxury) $8,000 – $12,000 $96,000 – $144,000 $2,400,000 – $3,600,000
High Net Worth $15,000+ $180,000+ $4,500,000+

Required portfolio assumes Social Security covers a portion; portfolio fills the gap.

The 70-80% Rule: Where It Works and Where It Fails

Situation 70-80% Rule Accuracy
Average earner, modest lifestyle, paid-off home Reasonable estimate
Plans to travel extensively in early retirement Underestimates — early retirement spending is often HIGHER than working years
Has large mortgage payment retiring Overestimates if mortgage paid off; underestimates if still owing
Early retiree (before 65, before Medicare) Significantly underestimates — healthcare costs are much higher
Downsizes from high-COL area Overestimates — lower costs post-move
High income earner ($200,000+) Often overestimates — work-related spending disappears

Build Your Retirement Budget: Bottom-Up Method

Step 1: Baseline monthly expenses

Category Current Monthly Retirement Adjustment Retirement Monthly
Housing $______ Paid off? Relocate? $______
Healthcare $______ +$400-600 after 65 $______
Food $______ Often similar $______
Transportation $______ Often lower (one car) $______
Entertainment / travel $______ Often higher early $______
Work expenses (clothes, commuting, lunches) $______ → $0 $0
Childcare / dependent support $______ Usually → $0 $______
Debt payments $______ Should be → $0 $______

Step 2: Add retirement-specific new costs

Retirement Cost Estimated Monthly
Medicare Part B/D premiums (avg) $185
Supplemental insurance (Medigap or Advantage) $0-$400
Travel budget (if a goal) $200-$2,000
Hobbies and leisure $200-$500
Home maintenance (rule: 1-2%/year of home value) $150-$400
Gifts and family support $100-$500

Step 3: Your retirement income target

Total all categories. This is your monthly income need. Multiply by 12 for your annual target.

How Expenses Change Over Retirement

Spending follows a “smile” or “declining” curve — not a flat line:

Retirement Phase Age Spending Relative to Average
Early “Go-Go” years 65-75 110-130% of base — travel, home projects, activities
Middle “Slow-Go” years 75-85 95-105% of base — settling in, less physical activity
Late “No-Go” years 85+ 80-90% on lifestyle, but healthcare can spike to 150%+

A flat spending assumption in retirement planning is overly conservative early and potentially underfunds late-life healthcare. A retirement income plan should account for both.

How Much Monthly Income by Asset Level

Social Security assumed: $2,000/month individual or $3,200/month couple. Portfolio at 4% withdrawal rate.

Single Retiree:

Portfolio Size Social Security (estimate) Portfolio (4%/12) Total Monthly
$300,000 $1,800 $1,000 $2,800
$500,000 $1,800 $1,667 $3,467
$750,000 $1,800 $2,500 $4,300
$1,000,000 $1,800 $3,333 $5,133
$1,500,000 $1,800 $5,000 $6,800
$2,000,000 $1,800 $6,667 $8,467

Married Couple (both collecting SS):

Portfolio Size Combined SS (estimate) Portfolio (4%/12) Total Monthly
$500,000 $3,200 $1,667 $4,867
$750,000 $3,200 $2,500 $5,700
$1,000,000 $3,200 $3,333 $6,533
$1,500,000 $3,200 $5,000 $8,200
$2,000,000 $3,200 $6,667 $9,867
$3,000,000 $3,200 $10,000 $13,200

Is Your Current Savings on Track?

Quick benchmark: At age 65, you should have roughly 10-12× your current salary saved (combined with expected Social Security) to maintain your pre-retirement lifestyle.

Pre-retirement Income Target Savings at 65 Monthly Income Estimate
$50,000/year $500,000-$600,000 $3,200-$3,700
$75,000/year $750,000-$900,000 $4,300-$5,100
$100,000/year $1,000,000-$1,200,000 $5,100-$5,900
$150,000/year $1,500,000-$1,800,000 $6,800-$7,900
$200,000/year $2,000,000-$2,400,000 $8,500-$10,000

These are rough benchmarks. Your actual need depends on your retirement budget, not your current income.

Income Shortfall Solutions

If your estimated retirement income falls short of your target:

Shortfall Size Solution
Small (<$500/month) Part-time work, cut discretionary spending, delay retirement 1-2 years
Moderate ($500-$1,500/month) Delay Social Security claiming, generate rental income, relocate to lower COL
Large (>$1,500/month) Significant lifestyle changes, later retirement date, annuitize a portion of assets
Very large Consider selling a home (downsize or relocate), substantial working years added

Bottom Line

Your retirement income target is personal — not a percentage of what you earned. Build an actual budget using your real planned expenses. Check it against your expected income from all sources. Social Security, portfolio withdrawals, and any pension or part-time work together need to meet that number. The gap between what you need and what guaranteed income provides is the amount your portfolio must fund.

Related: Retirement Income Planning Guide | Retirement Income Sources | Safe Withdrawal Rate | Retirement Income Calculator